The latest World Cup betting odds have France (2.40) as the clear favourite to lift the trophy, followed by Spain (4.35), England (4.35), and Argentina (5.50). With only four teams remaining in the tournament, we've compared the latest odds from the best World Cup betting sites, covering outright winner markets, semi-final matches, and the top betting opportunities ahead of the final.
Best World Cup Odds Today
Here are the latest match-day odds available on Bet9ja, 1xBet, and Betking sportbooks.
| Games (Nigerian Time) | Bet9ja (1/X/2) Odds | 1xBet (1/X/2) Odds | BetKing (1/X/2) Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| France vs Spain (14 Jul, 21:00) | 2.50 / 3.20 / 3.20 | 2.477 / 3.24 / 3.30 | 2.44 / 3.25 / 3.25 |
| England vs Argentina (15 Jul, 21:00) | 2.76 / 2.98 / 3.05 | 2.703 / 3.08 / 3.115 | 2.67 / 2.96 / 3.10 |
Note: 1 = home win, X = draw, 2 = away win. Odds are correct at the time of writing and may change.
2026 World Cup Winner Odds
Even with just four teams remaining, you can still bet on who will win the 2026 World Cup.
| Country | Total Record So Far | Odds to Win the World Cup | |
|---|---|---|---|
| France | 6-0-0 | 2.40 | Bet Now |
| Spain | 5-1-0 | 4.35 | Bet Now |
| England | 5-1-0 | 4.35 | Bet Now |
| Argentina | 6-0-0 | 5.50 | Bet Now |
Probability to Win the World Cup
We can use the World Cup winner odds to calculate each team's probability of winning the tournament. This simple conversion shows the bookmaker's estimated percentage chance for each outcome. The formula is:
- (1 / Decimal Odds) x 100
| Country | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| France | 2.40 | 41.7% |
| Spain | 4.35 | 23.0% |
| England | 4.35 | 23.0% |
| Argentina | 5.50 | 18.2% |
These percentages reflect the bookmakers' assessment of each team's chances of lifting the World Cup trophy. If you believe a team's actual chance is higher than its implied probability, that could represent value in the outright market.
Our Pick to Win the 2026 World Cup
France is our pick to win the 2026 World Cup. Didier Deschamps' side has looked the most complete team throughout the tournament, finishing top of Group I before eliminating Sweden, Paraguay, and Morocco to reach the semi-finals. Defensively, they have been outstanding, while Kylian Mbappé continues to lead the Golden Boot race alongside Lionel Messi.
Just as importantly, France has the depth needed to win major tournaments. Players such as Ousmane Dembélé, Michael Olise, Eduardo Camavinga, Aurélien Tchouaméni, and William Saliba continue to perform at a high level, giving Les Bleus arguably the strongest squad left in the competition. A semi-final against Spain will be their toughest test yet, but France remains both our pick and the bookmakers' favourite to lift the trophy.
For more detailed analysis on the leading contenders, visit our page on World Cup 2026 favourites.
How Accurate Are World Cup 2026 Winner Predictions?
World Cup winner predictions are based on bookmakers' odds, making them one of the best indicators of how each team's chances are currently rated. As the tournament reaches the semi-finals, these odds become increasingly accurate because only four teams remain in contention.
France is currently the bookmakers' favourite, followed by Spain, England, and Argentina. While outright markets generally become more reliable later in the tournament, football can still produce surprises, especially in one-off knockout matches where a single moment can decide who reaches the final.
World Cup 2026 Predictions for the Top Four Teams
The table below compares the four remaining teams across the outright winner market and their odds of reaching the World Cup final.
| Country | Win the World Cup | Reach Final |
|---|---|---|
| France | 2.40 | 1.66 |
| Spain | 4.35 | 1.82 |
| England | 4.35 | 2.08 |
| Argentina | 5.50 | 2.34 |
World Cup Top Scorer Odds
With only the semi-finals and final remaining, the Golden Boot race has narrowed considerably. Kylian Mbappé and Lionel Messi continue to lead the standings, while Harry Kane remains within striking distance.
| Player | Country | Current Goals | Top Scorer Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé | France | 8 | 1.83 | Bet Now |
| Lionel Messi | Argentina | 8 | 2.30 | Bet Now |
| Harry Kane | England | 6 | 11.00 | Bet Now |
| Jude Bellingham | England | 6 | 12.00 | Bet Now |
| Ousmane Dembélé | France | 5 | 51.00 | Bet Now |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | Spain | 4 | 81.00 | Bet Now |
Our pick remains Kylian Mbappé. He shares the Golden Boot lead with Lionel Messi on six goals, but France's favourable outright odds make him the strongest candidate to finish as the tournament's top scorer. Harry Kane still has an outside chance with five goals, while Bellingham, Dembélé, and Oyarzabal would likely need a standout performance in the remaining matches to catch the leaders.
World Cup 2026 MVP Odds
The Golden Ball is awarded to the tournament's best overall player rather than simply the top scorer. With only four teams remaining, the race has narrowed to a handful of standout performers who have consistently influenced matches throughout the tournament.
| Player | Country | Golden Ball Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé | France | 2.50 | Bet Now |
| Lionel Messi | Argentina | 3.00 | Bet Now |
| Jude Bellingham | England | 5.00 | Bet Now |
| Harry Kane | England | 9.00 | Bet Now |
| Michael Olise | France | 17.00 | Bet Now |
| Lamine Yamal | Spain | 21.00 | Bet Now |
| Ousmane Dembélé | France | 26.00 | Bet Now |
| Lautaro Martínez | Argentina | 26.00 | Bet Now |
| Rodri | Spain | 34.00 | Bet Now |
| Julián Álvarez | Argentina | 34.00 | Bet Now |
Our pick remains Kylian Mbappé at 2.50. The France captain has been one of the tournament's standout performers and enters the semi-finals as both the Golden Boot co-leader and the bookmakers' favourite for the Golden Ball. Lionel Messi remains his biggest challenger after another outstanding campaign, while Jude Bellingham has emerged as England's strongest candidate following his influential displays in the knockout rounds.
Golden Glove Odds
The Golden Glove is awarded to the tournament's best goalkeeper. With the World Cup down to the final four teams, the race is now led by the goalkeepers still competing in the semi-finals.
| Player | Country | Golden Glove Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Maignan | France | 2.75 | Bet Now |
| Unai Simón | Spain | 3.50 | Bet Now |
| Jordan Pickford | England | 4.50 | Bet Now |
| Damián Martínez | Argentina | 5.00 | Bet Now |
| Yassine Bounou | Morocco | 51.00 | Bet Now |
| Ørjan Nyland | Norway | 67.00 | Bet Now |
| Thibaut Courtois | Belgium | 81.00 | Bet Now |
| Gregor Kobel | Switzerland | 81.00 | Bet Now |
Our pick remains Mike Maignan at 2.75. The French goalkeeper has been one of the tournament's most consistent performers and enters the semi-finals as the bookmakers' favourite for the Golden Glove. Unai Simón, Jordan Pickford, and Damián Martínez all remain strong contenders, but France's defensive record and Maignan's commanding displays give him the edge heading into the final stages of the competition.
What are World Cup Betting Odds?
In simple terms, World Cup odds tell you the likelihood of an event happening and also show you how much you can win for each naira you stake. In Nigeria, bookmakers primarily use decimal odds in the format 1.50, 2.50, 3.88. etc.
This number represents your total return for every ₦1 you stake, including your original stake.
A low number indicates the bookmakers believe the likelihood of that event occurring is high. In contrast, a high number means the opposite, i.e., the associated event has a low probability of happening.
How to Read Decimal Odds
Reading betting odds is simple once you know the format.
- Odds of 1.50 represent a strong favourite. A ₦1,000 bet returns ₦1,500 (₦500 profit + ₦1,000 stake).
- Odds of 3.00 mean the sides involved are relatively evenly matched. A ₦1,000 bet returns ₦3,000 (₦2,000 profit + ₦1,000 stake).
- Odds of 6.00 mean an underdog. A ₦1,000 bet returns ₦6,000 (₦5,000 profit + ₦1,000 stake).
Calculating Your Payout
Use this formula: Stake x Odds = Total Payout.
Example: You bet ₦1,000 on France to win at odds of 2.40:
- Calculation: ₦1,000 x 2.40 = ₦2,400.
- Your Profit: ₦2,400 (payout) – ₦1,000 (stake) = ₦1,400 profit.
The higher the decimal odds, the greater the potential return, but the lower the probability of that outcome winning. Learning how to bet on World Cup matches starts with mastering this simple calculation. Always compare World Cup odds across bookmakers to find the best value for your bet.
Conclusion
The 2026 World Cup is now down to the final four. France face Spain in the first semi-final after beating Morocco 2-0, while England meet Argentina after both needed extra time to get past Norway and Switzerland.
France remains the favourite at 2.40, but Spain, England, and Argentina are all close enough to keep the outright market wide open. With only the semi-finals and final left, the winner odds and player award markets could still change quickly.
FAQs
What do World Cup odds mean?
World Cup odds show how likely bookmakers believe a particular outcome is and how much you can win if your bet is successful. Lower odds indicate a stronger favourite, while higher odds offer bigger potential returns but reflect a lower implied probability.
Which team has the best World Cup winner odds?
France is the current favourite at 2.40 after reaching the semi-finals. Spain and England follow at 4.35, while Argentina is priced at 5.50. With only four teams remaining, the outright market is much tighter than earlier in the tournament.
Where can I find the latest World Cup odds?
You can compare the latest World Cup winner odds, match odds, and player award markets on this page. We update the odds regularly throughout the tournament as bookmakers adjust their prices after every match.
Which bookmakers offer the highest World Cup odds?
Bet9ja, BetKing, and 1xBet consistently offer competitive odds on World Cup outrights, match betting, and player markets. Comparing prices across bookmakers can help you find the best value before placing a bet.
Who is favourite to win the 2026 World Cup?
France is currently the bookmakers' favourite to win the 2026 World Cup at 2.40 after victories over Paraguay and Morocco. Spain and England are both priced at 4.35, while Argentina remains a strong contender at 5.50 ahead of the semi-finals.
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