NPFL: Ikorodu City host Inter Lagos with 11 points between them

NPFL strugglers Inter Lagos travel to Ikorodu City on Monday with just three points from 11 games, 11 behind a home side that sits 13th.

Ikorodu City have 14 points from 11 matches and a goal difference of +2. Their form reads draw, draw, loss, win, loss over the last five, with one win in that run. Inter Lagos are bottom of the 20-team table with a goal difference of minus 14, the worst in the league.

Analysis: the gap on paper and the gap in goals

The league table gives Ikorodu City a clear edge, but Inter Lagos have drawn two of their last five, so they can still take a point from a game. Their problem is the margin of their defeats: a goal difference of minus 14 after 11 games points to heavy losses rather than narrow ones.

For Ikorodu City, a home win would lift them towards the middle of a congested table in which only three points separate 6th from 12th. Our earlier look at how four clubs shared top spot shows how quickly places change, and Rangers' hold on the lead is the other storyline this week.

Verdict

Ikorodu City should have the sharper edge at home against a side that has struggled to keep scores down, and a two-goal win is the likeliest outcome.